Wednesday, February 07, 2007

I'm Sorry, I was Terribly Wrong - Playoffs & Postseason Awards Predictions Review

After boring you terribly with a successful AFC predictions campaign, and then again with a not-so successful NFC campaign, I'm back with the final installment. I think I write these articles for my own sake, just to keep me humble and remind myself that I don't know as much about sports as I'd like to believe.

Anyway...

AFC

Predicted order for playoff seeding: Indianapolis, Miami, Baltimore, San Diego, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh

Actual order of playoff seeding: San Diego, Baltimore, Indianapolis, New England, Jets, Kansas City

Predicted AFC Champion: Indianapolis

Actual AFC Champion: Indianapolis

Comments:

I should probably be less happy about getting only three of the playoff teams correct, but that miss is once again tempered by me nailing San Diego and Indianapolis. Any time you can predict the winner of a conference, I think you have to dub it a success. I was close at least on two of the three misses, and completely whiffed on Miami.

Grade: A

NFC

Predicted order for playoff seeding: Seattle, Tampa Bay, Giants, Detroit, Carolina, Dallas

Actual order of playoff seeding: Chicago, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Seattle, Dallas, Giants

Predicted NFC Champion: Giants

Actual NFC Champion: Chicago

Comments:

I'm much less enthused about getting three of the six playoff teams correct, as my other misses were COMPLETE misses. The closest I was on any of the three was Philadelphia, and I was very non-committal about them. The NFC for me was a total disaster, and I think to my credit, the NFC actual was a total disaster this year. So at least I'm consistent.

Grade: C (Hey, 3 out of 6 teams is at least average)

Super Bowl

Predicted Outcome: Indianapolis 38, Giants 23

Actual Outcome: Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17

Comments:

Well, this is now my second consecutive year where I have correctly picked the Super Bowl winner in August, having also slated Pittsburgh for this same honor last season. I guess this is as good as it gets. You have slightly better than a one in thirty chance to do this (because some teams don't have a chance), but I have to pat myself on the back...ok, I'm finished. Thankfully, the NFC was really bad for me this year, or I'd be really puffed up. I also give myself a little bit of props in that I was only three points off in the points differential between the two teams, having guessed a 15 point Colts advantage to an actual 12 point advantage. Yea me!

Grade: A+

Postseason Awards

MVP: Predicted - Peyton Manning Actual - LaDanian Tomlinson

Offensive POY: Predicted - Peyton Manning Actual - LT

Defensive POY: Predicted - Troy Polamalu Actual - Jason Taylor

Offensive ROY: Predicted - Laurence Maroney Actual - Vince Young

Defensive ROY: Predicted - Haloti Ngata Actual - DeMeco Ryans

Coach of the Year: Predicted - Tony Dungy Actual - Sean Payton

Comments:

Not one hit hear, but there are even smaller odds of getting anything right here than there are in the standings prediction business. I know...excuses, excuses. Hey, at least I tried.

Grade: F

Well, that was another exercise in me entertaining myself. Thanks for watching. Buh-bye.

Overall Predictions Grade: B+

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